League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
3 - 1
Accrington

Smith (16'), Sowunmi (68'), Adom-Malaki (74')
Smith (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bickerstaff (85')
Adedoyin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
45.97% ( 0.04)	24.88% ( -0.01)	29.15% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62% (

0.04)

47.38% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4% (

0.04)

69.6% (

-0.03)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

0.03)

20.66% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

0.05)

53.25% (

-0.05)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.03% (

29.97% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.92% (

0.01)

66.08% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 45.97%

Accrington Stanley 29.15%

Draw 24.87%

Sutton United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 45.97%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.15%