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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 57.21% ( | 22.53% ( | 20.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( | 45.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% ( | 67.7% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( | 15.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.39% ( | 44.61% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( | 73.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 3-0 @ 6.07% 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.26% |