League Two Gameweek 41
Barrow
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Cole Stockton 11' goal
  • Cole Stockton 22' goal
  • Dom Telford 71' yellowcard
  • Robbie Gotts 82' goal
  • yellowcard David Artell 0'
  • goal Justin Obikwu 89'

Barrow vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
Barrow 1 - 0 Newport
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Kian Spence

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 3 Wrexham
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Danny Rose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result

Barrow 46.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Grimsby Town 25.87% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.03% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 58.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 20.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 8.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.2% ▲ (+0.04)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5 74.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.75% ▲ (+0.03)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.43% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 38.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 24.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.32% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Barrow 46.83%
Draw 27.28%
Grimsby Town 25.87%
Barrow
1-0 @ 13.37% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.28%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 25.87%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
Barrow
  • Kamil Conteh 32' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 37' goal
  • Donovan Wilson 75' goal
  • yellowcard James Chester 45'+3'
  • goal Sam Foley 79'
League Two Gameweek 43
Grimsby Town
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
Barrow
  • Danilo Orsi 77' goal
League Two Gameweek 13
Barrow
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Billy Waters 75' goal
League Two Gameweek 26
Barrow
Mar 23, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Furness Building Society Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • yellowcard Lenell John-Lewis 62'
  • goal Luke Spokes 71'
League Two Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
Nov 3, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
Barrow
  • Montel Gibson 60' goal
  • Luke Waterfall 77' yellowcard
  • James McKeown 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hird 41'
  • yellowcard Matthew Platt 71'
National League
Barrow
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Grimsby Town
  • Otis Khan 31' goal
  • George Williams 70' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 36'
  • goal Josh Gowling 60'
  • goal Padraig Amond 85'

Form Data

Barrow 1 - 0 Newport
Barrow 0 - 0 Harrogate
Walsall 1 - 1 Barrow
Barrow 2 - 0 Colchester
Barrow 2 - 0 Gillingham
Salford City 5 - 3 Barrow
Grimsby Town 1 - 3 Wrexham
Gillingham 1 - 1 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 1 - 0 MK Dons
Sutton 1 - 1 Grimsby Town
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 1 - 0 Forest Green