League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
3 - 1
Grimsby Town

Stockton (11', 22'), Gotts (82')
Telford (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Obikwu (89')
Artell (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Barrow and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Grimsby Town
46.84% ( 0.03)	27.28% ( 0.01)	25.87% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.03% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35% (

-0.07)

58.65% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

-0.05)

79.2% (

0.06)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

-0.01)

25.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25% (

-0.02)

59.75% (

0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43% (

-0.08)

38.57% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.68% (

-0.07)

75.32% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Barrow 46.83%

Grimsby Town 25.87%

Draw 27.28%

Barrow	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.83%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.87%