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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 8
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Newport County

Barrow
1 - 0
Newport

Stockton (20')
Ray (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Payne (65'), Bright (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Newport County

With Barrow left slightly frustrated by consecutive draws and Newport travelling with momentum in the playoff race, we anticipate an intriguing encounter on Saturday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawNewport County
51.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)22.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 51.23%
    Newport County 22.61%
    Draw 26.15%
BarrowDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Newport

Barrow
48.6%
Draw
25.7%
Newport County
25.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Newport
1-1
Barrow
McLoughlin (40')
Delaney (5'), Bennett (14'), Morris (20')
Delaney (43')
Campbell (69' pen.)
Canavan (28'), Gotts (73')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Barrow
0-1
Newport
Demetriou (90+5')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Newport
0-2
Barrow
Gordon (45', 59')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Newport
2-1
Barrow
Telford (2', 12')
Willmott (90+5')
Demetriou (63' og.)
Brough (41'), Banks (59'), Brown (75'), Hutton (81'), Driscoll-Glennon (90+5')
Sep 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Barrow
2-1
Newport
Kay (63'), Gordon (78')
Azaz (10')
Farquharson (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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