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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 51.24% ( | 26.15% ( | 22.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.93% ( | 57.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.05% ( | 77.95% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( | 22.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( | 55.86% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.28% ( | 40.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% ( | 77.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.26% Total : 22.61% |