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Championship header 2

League Two

Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Wrexham AFC

Grimsby Town
1 - 3
Wrexham

Gnahoua (81')
Hume (48')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Cannon (5', 36'), Mullin (41')
Cleworth (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawWrexham
29.26% (0.010000000000002 0.01)24.58%46.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.01% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)68.31% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.01100000000001 0.01)29.19% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)65.14% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77%52.22%
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 29.26%
    Wrexham 46.16%
    Draw 24.58%
Grimsby TownDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 46.16%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Wrexham

Grimsby Town
33.3%
Draw
12.8%
Wrexham
53.8%
39
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Wrexham
3-0
Grimsby Town
Palmer (21'), Boyle (31'), Lee (79')
McClean (6'), Lee (44')

Conteh (39'), Maher (50')
> Preview
May 28, 2022 12.30pm
Wrexham
4-5
Grimsby Town
Mullin (13' pen., 65'), Tozer (63'), Davies (80')
Tozer (45+3'), Young (98'), Palmer (105')
McAtee (15'), Waterfall (47', 119'), Taylor (72'), Dieseruvwe (78')
Amos (24'), Waterfall (28'), Taylor (36')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Wrexham
1-0
Grimsby Town
Palmer (35')
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Grimsby Town
3-1
Wrexham
Taylor (27'), Waterfall (34'), Wright (90')
Sousa (60'), Clifton (66')
Hyde (22')
Redmond (25'), French (49')
Mar 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Wrexham
Disley (7')
Tait (46'), Hoban (89'), Clay (92')

Jennings (45')