League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 3
Wrexham

Garner (4')
Melbourne (39'), Songo'o (42'), Edwards (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McClean (32'), Mullin (55' pen.), Fletcher (80')
Barnett (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Wrexham
31.66% ( -0.15)	26.12% ( -0.05)	42.22% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 52.82% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.47% (

0.16)

51.53% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.67% (

0.14)

73.33% (

-0.13)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67% (

-0.02)

30.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49% (

-0.02)

66.51% (

0.03)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.81% (

0.17)

24.19% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.48% (

0.24)

58.52% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 31.66%

Wrexham 42.22%

Draw 26.12%

Morecambe	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.66%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 42.22%