/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
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Gerard Garner
4'
-
Max Melbourne
39'
-
Yann Songo'o
42'
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Max Melbourne
49'
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Gwion Edwards
63'
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James McClean
32'
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Paul Mullin
55'
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Steven Fletcher
80'
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Ryan Barnett
90'+6'
Morecambe vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Morecambe
31.66%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
26.12%
▼
(-0.06)
Wrexham
42.22%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
52.82%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.47%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
51.53%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
26.67%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
73.33%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 4.5
12.43%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
87.57%
▼
(-0.09)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
69.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
30.33%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
33.49%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
66.51%
▲
(+0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
75.81%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
24.19%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
41.48%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
58.52%
▼
(-0.24)
Score analysis
Morecambe
31.66%
Draw
26.12%
Wrexham
42.22%
Morecambe
1-0
@
8.75%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.66%
2-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.66%
Draw
1-1
@
12.42%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.12%
0-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.12%
Wrexham
0-1
@
10.41%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.22%
1-2 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.22%