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Grimsby Town
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Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Grimsby Town

Gillingham
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Lapslie (15')
McKenzie (83'), Lapslie (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (13')
Clifton (18'), Tharme (22'), Hume (66')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawGrimsby Town
40.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)26.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)33.25% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.4% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (0.038999999999994 0.04)52.31% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.032999999999998 0.03)74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)25.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (0.051000000000002 0.05)29.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (0.061 0.06)65.71% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 40.33%
    Grimsby Town 33.25%
    Draw 26.41%
GillinghamDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.33%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.25%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Grimsby Town
2-0
Gillingham
Maher (11'), Holohan (27')
Amos (90+4')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Gillingham
2-1
Grimsby Town
Lapslie (56'), Hawkins (87')
Holohan (75')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 21, 2009 3pm
Grimsby Town
3-0
Gillingham
Hegarty (58'), Akpa Akpro (33'), Conlon (90')
Sweeney (72')
Sep 6, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0


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