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Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
AFC Wimbledon

Stockport
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Bailey (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (12'), Lewis (12'), Balmer (80'), Bugiel (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
58.58% (-0.174 -0.17)22.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08)18.59% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.172 -0.17)48.94% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.157 -0.16)71.03% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.119 -0.12)16.39% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (-0.217 -0.22)46.03% (0.217 0.22)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.3% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 58.58%
    AFC Wimbledon 18.59%
    Draw 22.82%
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.58%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 6% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.59%

How you voted: Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon

Stockport County
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
AFC Wimbledon
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Stockport
Davison (32')
Davison (42'), Brown (45+3')
Barry (50'), Collar (62')
Croasdale (45+2'), Wright (68')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stockport
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Horsfall (11')
Horsfall (53')

Pell (4')
rhs 2.0


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