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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Edgeley Park
MK Dons

Stockport
5 - 0
MK Dons

Camps (31'), Madden (36'), Olaofe (45+1'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51'), Byrne (90+5')
Kane (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Payne (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stockport County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 MK Dons

 Stockport boss Challinor has labelled Saturday's enticing showdown as one that both sides simply have to win, but the hosts' recent failures to convert one point into three and MK Dons' propensity to fall short on the road may put paid to that idea. The Hatters are certainly nowhere near the force that they were during the earliest months of the campaign, but even with their crisis on the left-hand side of the backline, we can envisage the defensively-sound hosts maintaining their top-three position by taking a point off an MK Dons crop who do not travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
52.04% (0.238 0.24) 23.71% (-0.032 -0.03) 24.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)45.93% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.075000000000003 0.08)17.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.125 0.13)48.26% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.19300000000001 -0.19)33.02% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-0.216 -0.22)69.61% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 52.03%
    MK Dons 24.25%
    Draw 23.7%
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Stockport vs MK Dons

Stockport County
43.8%
Draw
28.1%
MK Dons
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
MK Dons
1-2
Stockport
Eisa (26')
Robson (58'), Smith (62'), Gilbey (72'), Harvie (83')
Barry (17'), Powell (45+2')
Barry (75'), Pye (88')
Feb 6, 2010 3pm
Stockport
1-3
MK Dons
Donnelly (11')
Sadler (35'), Mullins (60'), Pilkington (89')
Townsend (74'), Easter (24'), Wilbraham (56')
Woodards (21'), Easter (43'), Townsend (74')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Stockport
Puncheon (25', 82'), Quashie (49'), Easter (28')
Easter (42'), Puncheon (75')

Raynes (10'), Griffin (87'), Mullins (90')
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Stockport
0-1
MK Dons
Wilbraham (36')
Wilbraham (31'), Regan (81')
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Stockport
Gerba (45')
Leven (45'), Cummings (67'), Angel Llera (83'), Gallen (88'), Navarro (90')
Lewington (90' og.), Taylor (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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