League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Mar 23, 2024 at 5.15pm UK

Edgeley Park

Stockport
5 - 0
MK Dons

Camps (31'), Madden (36'), Olaofe (45+1'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51'), Byrne (90+5')
Kane (44')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Payne (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stockport County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport County	Draw	MK Dons
52.04% ( 0.24)	23.71% ( -0.03)	24.25% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 55.16% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.07% (

-0.04)

45.93% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.76% (

-0.04)

68.24% (

0.05)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36% (

0.08)

17.65% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75% (

0.13)

48.26% (

-0.12)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98% (

-0.19)

33.02% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.39% (

-0.22)

69.61% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Stockport County 52.03%

MK Dons 24.25%

Draw 23.7%

Stockport County	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 52.03%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.25%