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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
3 - 1
Crewe

Dennis (5', 22'), Wearne (25')
Bate (62'), Kemp (70'), Tomlinson (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Nevitt (19')
Turns (38'), Cooney (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
57.36% (0.15 0.15)21.08% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)21.57% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.73% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (0.217 0.22)36.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.85% (0.23399999999999 0.23)59.15% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23% (0.11499999999999 0.11)12.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.96% (0.234 0.23)39.04% (-0.232 -0.23)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.049999999999997 0.05)30.39% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.059000000000005 0.06)66.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 57.36%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.57%
    Draw 21.08%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
3-1
MK Dons
Thomas (62'), Baker-Richardson (69'), Long (90')
Thomas (55'), O'Riordan (89'), Rowe (90+2'), Davies (90+3')
Leko (8')
Gilbey (75')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
2-1
Crewe
Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
0-2
Crewe
Mandron (15', 20')
Lancashire (77'), Wintle (90+5')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
2-0
MK Dons
Mandron (13'), Finney (20')
Finney (56')

Gladwin (37'), Houghton (57'), Fraser (65'), Morris (90+4')