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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 31.59% ( | 23.22% ( | 45.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.49% ( | 38.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( | 60.79% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( | 23.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( | 58.2% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( | 17.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.11% ( | 47.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 1-0 @ 5.97% ( 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.59% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 5.3% ( 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 4.02% Total : 45.18% |