League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Scott Lindsey 21' yellowcard
  • Danilo Orsi 54' yellowcard
  • Klaidi Lolas 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Pye 20'
  • goal 61'
  • goal Antoni Sarcevic 61'

Crawley Town vs Stockport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Crawley 2 - 1 Notts County
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Danilo Orsi

Stockport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2024 8.00pm
Salford City 2 - 2 Stockport
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Isaac Olaofe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Crawley Town 31.59% (-0.42)
Draw 23.22% (+0.23)
Stockport County 45.18% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.78% (-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.49% (-1.31)
Under 2.5 38.5% (+1.31)
Over 3.5 39.2% (-1.40)
Under 3.5 60.79% (+1.40)
Over 4.5 21.5% (-1.12)
Under 4.5 78.49% (+1.12)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.03% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 23.96% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 41.8% (-1.26)
Under 1.5 58.2% (+1.26)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5 82.56% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 17.43% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 52.11% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 47.88% (+0.78)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 31.59%
Draw 23.22%
Stockport County 45.18%
Crawley Town
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.97% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 4.26% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.18% (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.22%
Stockport County
1-2 @ 9.11% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.3% (+0.35)
0-2 @ 6.37% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.71% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 45.18%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Edgeley Park
  • Louie Barry 13' goal
  • Antoni Sarcevic 36' goal
  • Nick Powell 56' yellowcard
  • Isaac Olaofe 89' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Gladwin 38'
  • goal Adam Campbell 42'
  • goal Laurence Maguire 54'
  • yellowcard Danilo Orsi 56'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 66'
  • yellowcard Klaidi Lolas 71'
  • yellowcard Aaron Henry 85'
  • yellowcard Jay Williams 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Edgeley Park
  • Kyle Wootton 12' goal
  • Kyle Wootton 51' goal
  • goal Jack Powell 9'
League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • James Tilley 5' goal
  • Dom Telford 35' goal
  • Nick Tsaroulla 56' goal
  • goal Ollie Crankshaw 17'
  • goal Chris Hussey 52'