League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Adebisi (13')
Nevitt (85'), Long (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gordon (2')
O'Toole (63'), Davison (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
39.98% ( -0)	25.95% ( -0.04)	34.07% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.1% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

0.17)

50.21% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

0.15)

72.16% (

-0.16)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

0.07)

24.74% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69% (

0.11)

59.3% (

-0.11)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

0.11)

28.11% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

0.14)

63.78% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 39.98%

AFC Wimbledon 34.07%

Draw 25.94%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.98%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.07%