League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Harrogate

Curtis (58')
Balmer (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Daly (8')
March (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Bradford
Saturday, March 23 at 1pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Harrogate Town
62.57% ( 0.01)	21.29% ( 0.02)	16.15% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.91% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.54% (

-0.1)

46.46% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.26% (

-0.09)

68.74% (

0.1)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.75% (

-0.03)

14.26% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.98% (

-0.06)

42.03% (

0.07)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.2% (

-0.08)

41.8% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.74% (

-0.07)

78.26% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 62.55%

Harrogate Town 16.15%

Draw 21.28%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 62.55%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.28%	0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.15%