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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
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Morecambe
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Salford City
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Sutton United
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Harrogate Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Harrogate

Curtis (58')
Balmer (52')
Curtis (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daly (8')
March (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Bradford
Saturday, March 23 at 1pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate Town

Wimbledon are the favourites heading into this match, but they are going up against a Harrogate side that are unbeaten in their last three and hold the league's second-best away record this term, which includes just one loss in their last ten games on the road. We are expecting a close encounter here and feel that there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
62.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 16.15% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (-0.1 -0.1)46.46% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)68.74% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)14.26% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.98% (-0.061 -0.06)42.03% (0.067 0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.2% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)41.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.74% (-0.073 -0.07)78.26% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 62.55%
    Harrogate Town 16.15%
    Draw 21.28%
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 62.55%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.15%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate

AFC Wimbledon
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Harrogate Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Harrogate
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Gibson (79'), McDonald (88')
Bugiel (6')
Little (83'), Pell (90+1')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Harrogate
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Armstrong (89'), Sutton (90+7')
Chislett (32', 57')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Harrogate
Kalambayi (39'), Senior (84'), Davison (88')
Daly (48'), McArdle (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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