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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Salford City

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Salford City

Bugiel (70')
Johnson (81'), Neufville (90+7'), Brown (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McAleny (7'), McLennan (24'), Watt (32'), Garbutt (33'), Watson (45+2'), Lund (45+5'), Tilt (65'), (90+10')
Watt (90+9'), Vassell (90+9')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Salford City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSalford City
54.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.15% (0.004999999999999 0)23.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)14.62% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.72% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 54.79%
    Salford City 23.06%
    Draw 22.14%
AFC WimbledonDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.06%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Salford City
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
N'Mai (71'), Garbutt (88')
Reeves (9')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
AFC Wimbledon
2-3
Salford City
McAteer (7'), Al-Hamadi (58')
McAleny (55'), Hendry (90+5', 90+6')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Salford City
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
rhs 2.0


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