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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 38.67% ( | 25.03% ( | 36.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( | 45.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( | 68.14% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% | 23.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( | 57.47% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( | 24.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( | 59.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.29% |