Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.