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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Tranmere Rovers

Newport
1 - 2
Tranmere

Evans (20')
Evans (45+1'), Sanca (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Apter (25', 36')
O'Connor (67'), Hawkes (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-3 Accrington
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 1-3 Walsall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawTranmere Rovers
36.31% (0.057000000000002 0.06)24.72% (0.038 0.04)38.97% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.73% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (-0.172 -0.17)44.39% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (-0.166 -0.17)66.76% (0.169 0.17)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.07 -0.07)58.33% (0.073 0.07)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.121 -0.12)22.66% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.183 -0.18)56.31% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.31%
    Tranmere Rovers 38.97%
    Draw 24.72%
Newport CountyDrawTranmere Rovers
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.97%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Tranmere
2-1
Newport
Morris (57'), Jennings (88')
Morris (45'), Dennis (90+2'), Jolley (90+7')
Evans (22')
Clarke (54'), Bondswell (84'), Morris (90+4')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Tranmere
1-3
Newport
Hendry (90+2')
Wildig (25'), McNeill (29'), Kavanagh (82')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Newport
2-1
Tranmere
Moriah-Welsh (29'), Bogle (38' pen.)
Clarke (82')
Lewis (23' og.)
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Newport
4-2
Tranmere
Lewis (49'), Telford (57' pen., 90+2'), Azaz (87')
Cogley (65'), Demetriou (84' og.)
Warrington (48'), MacDonald (53')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Tranmere
0-1
Newport

Dieseruvwe (74'), Clarke (89')
Fisher (60')
Upson (26')