League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Newport

Rose (33')
Green (36'), Thompson (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Charsley (36'), Jephcott (54')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 0-4 Crawley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Newport County
42.09% ( 3.66)	24.54% ( 0.64)	33.36% ( -4.3)

Both teams to score 58.76% (

-3.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.91% (

-3.76)

44.08% (

3.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53% (

-3.76)

66.46% (

3.76)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

0.11)

21.02% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.18% (

0.18)

53.81% (

-0.18)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

-4.07)

25.59% (

4.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

-5.9)

60.47% (

5.89)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 42.09%

Newport County 33.36%

Draw 24.53%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Newport County
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 1.32) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 1.05) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.09%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.83) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.55) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.73) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.56) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.48) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.44) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.36%