League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
0 - 4
Crawley

Charsley (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Conroy (1'), Darcy (26'), Maguire (69'), Campbell (90+1')
Addai (17'), Williams (45+4'), Roles (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
36.43% ( 0.06)	24.07% ( 0)	39.49% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 61.12% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.7% (

-0.02)

41.29% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.31% (

-0.02)

63.69% (

0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

0.02)

22.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82% (

0.03)

56.18% (

-0.03)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

-0.04)

21.05% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

-0.06)

53.86% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Newport County 36.43%

Crawley Town 39.49%

Draw 24.07%

Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.43%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 39.49%