League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
2 - 1
Newport

Iandolo (75'), Mingi (90+2')
McGeehan (67'), Tovide (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zanzala (42')
Payne (67'), Waite (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Colchester United.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Newport County
41.17% ( 0.08)	25.32% ( -0)	33.51% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 56.1% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

47.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22% (

0.01)

69.77% (

-0.01)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03% (

0.04)

22.96% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.25% (

0.06)

56.75% (

-0.06)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

-0.04)

27.18% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

-0.06)

62.59% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 41.17%

Newport County 33.51%

Draw 25.31%

Colchester United	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.17%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.51%