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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 65.09% ( | 19.05% ( | 15.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.21% ( | 36.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.03% ( | 58.96% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( | 10.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.57% ( | 34.43% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( | 36.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( | 73.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 3-1 @ 7.34% ( 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 4-1 @ 4.12% ( 4-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 5-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 65.09% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.05% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 1-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.86% |