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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 32.54% ( | 26.31% ( | 41.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( | 52.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( | 73.77% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( | 30% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( | 66.11% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( | 24.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( | 59.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.15% |