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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 24.6% ( | 24.13% ( | 51.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( | 47.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( | 69.62% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( | 33.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( | 70.16% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( | 18.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% ( | 49.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 3-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.6% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0-2 @ 8.83% ( 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0-3 @ 4.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 2-4 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.27% |