League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 3
Accrington

Morris (13')
Bondswell (45'), Bondswell (90+8'), Jameson (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Henderson (22'), Leigh (46'), Pritchard (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
46.77% ( 0.07)	23.73% ( -0.01)	29.49% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 59.7% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.97% (

0.03)

42.03% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.56% (

0.03)

64.43% (

-0.03)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

0.04)

18.18% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.81% (

0.07)

49.18% (

-0.07)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97% (

-0.03)

27.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61% (

-0.03)

62.38% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Newport County 46.77%

Accrington Stanley 29.49%

Draw 23.73%

Newport County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.49%