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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 39.26% ( | 25.12% ( | 35.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% ( | 46.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( | 68.6% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( | 23.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( | 57.34% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( | 25.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( | 60.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.26% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.61% |