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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Crewe
0 - 3
Forest Green


Nevitt (43'), Kirk (75'), Adebisi (76')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Garrick (13', 26'), Robson (27')
Inniss (43'), Osadebe (52'), Jones (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Stockport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawForest Green Rovers
50.35% (0.018999999999998 0.02)24.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)46.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.52% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)68.53% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 50.35%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.6%
    Draw 24.05%
Crewe AlexandraDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Crewe vs Forest Green

Crewe Alexandra
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Forest Green
1-4
Crewe
Brown (35')
Deeney (46'), Robson (53'), Bunker (68'), Johnson (74')
Long (49'), Baker-Richardson (60', 69'), Nevitt (82')
Tabiner (11'), Offord (18'), O'Riordan (63')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Crewe
P-P
Forest Green
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Forest Green
0-0
Crewe
Kitching (44'), Rawson (49'), Mills (66')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
4-3
Forest Green
Porter (19'), Mills (63' og.), Kirk (87', 89')
Hunt (81'), Kirk (90')
Brown (36'), Mondal (47'), Doidge (52')
Gunning (52'), Brown (61'), Mills (89'), Reid (95')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Forest Green
1-0
Crewe
Mills (45')
Montgomery (55'), Rawson (87'), Campbell (89')

Jones (90')