Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
2 - 4
Newcastle

Janelt (48'), Wissa (70')
Toney (44'), Jensen (45+5'), Wissa (51'), Maupay (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Barnes (21'), Murphy (36'), Isak (38'), Guimaraes (77')
Joelinton (28'), Burn (53'), Krafth (66'), Pope (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United secure seventh spot in the Premier League table courtesy of a 4-2 win over Brentford on the final matchday of the 2023-24 campaign.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Newcastle
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Newcastle United
37.42% ( -1.16)	23.67% ( 0.15)	38.9% ( 1)

Both teams to score 62.72% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76% (

-0.78)

39.24% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

-0.82)

61.57% (

0.82)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

-0.9)

21.16% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.98% (

-1.42)

54.01% (

1.42)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56% (

0.14)

20.44% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

0.22)

52.89% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Brentford 37.42%

Newcastle United 38.9%

Draw 23.67%

Brentford	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.42%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.9%

How you voted: Brentford vs Newcastle

Brentford

21.2%

Draw

19.7%

Newcastle United

59.1%

Head to Head

Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 5

Newcastle

1-0

Brentford

Wilson (64' pen.)
Gordon (90+5'), Guimaraes (90+7'), Wilson (90+5')

Wissa (33'), Norgaard (42'), Hickey (59'), Flekken (64'), Collins (85')

> Match Report

Apr 8, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 30

Brentford

1-2

Newcastle

Toney (45+1' pen.)

Raya (54' og.), Isak (61')

> Match Report

Oct 8, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 10

Newcastle

5-1

Brentford

Guimaraes (21', 56'), Murphy (28'), Almiron (82'), Pinnock (90' og.)

Toney (54' pen.)

> Preview

Feb 26, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 27

Brentford

0-2

Newcastle

Ajer (45+1'), Mbeumo (84'), Janelt (90+5')
Dasilva (11')

Joelinton (33'), Willock (44')
Dubravka (68')

> Preview

Nov 20, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 12

Newcastle

3-3

Brentford

Lascelles (10'), Joelinton (39'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Wilson (46'), Saint-Maximin (75')

Toney (11'), Henry (31'), Lascelles (61' og.)
Ghoddos (42'), Norgaard (83')

> Preview

Form Guide

Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford

Brentford 0-0 Fulham

Everton 1-0 Brentford

Luton 1-5 Brentford

Brentford 2-0 Sheff Utd

Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford

Man Utd 3-2 Newcastle

Newcastle 1-1 Brighton

Burnley 1-4 Newcastle

Newcastle 5-1 Sheff Utd

Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table