Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 1
Brighton

Longstaff (45+5')
Hall (79'), Barnes (88'), Almiron (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Veltman (18')
Gilmour (45+4'), Enciso (54'), Welbeck (77'), Baker-Boatiey (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United's European aspirations suffer a slight blow in a 1-1 Premier League draw with Brighton & Hove Albion at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
55.58% ( 0.08)	19.49% ( -0.07)	24.93% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 71.5% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.98% (

0.36)

25.02% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.06% (

0.47)

44.94% (

-0.47)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.57% (

0.14)

9.43% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.3% (

0.31)

31.7% (

-0.31)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

0.2)

21.06% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

0.31)

53.86% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 55.58%

Brighton & Hove Albion 24.93%

Draw 19.49%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.39% Total : 55.58%	1-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.49%	1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.93%