Premier League Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Marcos Senesi 8' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 8' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 13' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 13' goal
  • Enes Unal 52' goal
  • Justin Kluivert 56' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 87' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 58'
  • yellowcard Valentin Barco 66'

Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2024 7.45pm
Wolves 0 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Solanke

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2024 8.00pm
Brighton 0 - 4 Man City
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result

Bournemouth 41.99% (-0.26)
Draw 22.32% (+0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion 35.68% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.72% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.34% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 32.65% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 45.67% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 54.32% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 26.88% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 73.12% (+0.15)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 83.65% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 16.34% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 54.05% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 45.94% (+0.29)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 80.94% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 19.05% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 49.36% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.64% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 41.99%
Draw 22.32%
Brighton & Hove Albion 35.68%
Bournemouth
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.64% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 41.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 7.02% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.11% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.32%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.16% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 35.68%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Joel Veltman 37' yellowcard
  • Kaoru Mitoma 46' goal
  • Milos Kerkez 45'+2' goal
  • Billy Gilmour 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Lewis Dunk 75' yellowcard
  • Kaoru Mitoma 77' goal
  • goal Dominic Solanke 25'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 41'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 89'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Evan Ferguson 28'
  • goal Julio Enciso 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kaoru Mitoma 87' goal
Premier League Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Harry Wilson 36' goal
  • Pascal Gross 41' goal
  • Callum Wilson 74' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo 28'
  • goal Aaron Mooy 81'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 3' goal
  • Aaron Mooy 79' goal
  • yellowcard Steve Cook 22'
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 67'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 13, 2019 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Florin Andone 50' yellowcard
  • Anthony Knockaert 68' redcard
  • Yves Bissouma 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Ake 22'
  • goal Dan Gosling 33'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 50'
  • goal Ryan Fraser 55'
  • yellowcard Dan Gosling 64'
  • yellowcard Artur Boruc 71'
  • goal David Brooks 74'
  • goal Callum Wilson 82'
  • goal Junior Stanislas 92'

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