Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Almeria
78.62% ( 0.88)	12.79% ( -0.25)	8.59% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 57.53% (

-2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.94% (

-1.02)

25.06% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55% (

-1.35)

44.99% (

1.35)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.94% (

-0.06)

5.05% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.86% (

-0.2)

20.13% (

0.2)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.59% (

-2.1)

39.4% (

2.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.89% (

-2.02)

76.1% (

2.02)

Score Analysis

Benfica 78.62%

Almeria 8.59%

Draw 12.79%

Benfica	Draw	Almeria
2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.51) 3-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.37) 5-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.19) 6-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.12) Other @ 6% Total : 78.62%	1-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.23% Total : 12.79%	1-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.96% Total : 8.59%