Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Almeria |
| 49.94% ( | 24.76% ( | 25.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( | 49.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( | 71.51% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( | 19.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( | 51.92% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( | 34.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( | 70.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.3% |