Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.