Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.