Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.