La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
6 - 1
Cadiz

Melero (48'), Arribas (51', 86'), Zaldua (57' og.), Suarez Charris (65', 71')
Suarez Charris (21'), Embarba (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ocampo (30')
Hernandez (13'), Fali (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Cadiz
40.11% ( -0.02)	27.04% ( -0.01)	32.84% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08% (

0.05)

54.93% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

0.04)

76.21% (

-0.04)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

0.02)

26.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

0.02)

62.13% (

-0.02)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76% (

0.05)

31.24% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41% (

0.06)

67.59% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Almeria 40.1%

Cadiz 32.84%

Draw 27.04%

Almeria	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.1%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.84%