Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.