Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.