Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Kokcu (19')
Kokcu (34'), Fernandez (36'), Gouveia (59'), Sanches (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (36'), dos Santos Santana (72'), Cordeiro (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Famalicao
Monday, August 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Estrela Amadora
79.92% ( 0.04)	12.77% ( -0.01)	7.31% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.7% (

-0.01)

30.29% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.45% (

-0.02)

51.55% (

0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.12% (

0.01)

5.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.46% (

0.01)

22.53% (

-0.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.46% (

-0.07)

46.54% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.86% (

-0.05)

82.14% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Benfica 79.91%

Estrela Amadora 7.31%

Draw 12.77%

Benfica	Draw	Estrela Amadora
2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 4.25% Total : 79.91%	1-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 12.77%	1-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 7.31%