Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 26, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Youssouf (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Goncalves (11'), Gyokeres (57'), Tcherno Quenda (63'), Inacio (86')
Inacio (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Lagoa 0-2 Famalicao
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
18.93% ( 0.76)	22.65% ( -0.04)	58.43% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

1.26)

47.74% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08% (

1.16)

69.93% (

-1.15)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.78% (

1.6)

39.22% (

-1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.07% (

1.47)

75.93% (

-1.47)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.98% (

0.19)

16.03% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.64% (

0.35)

45.37% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 18.93%

Sporting Lisbon 58.41%

Draw 22.65%

Famalicao	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.93%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.65%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 10.53% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.41%