Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Garcia (50'), Alvaro (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Catamo (24'), Morita (31'), Braganca (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Estoril
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 AVS
Sunday, September 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.34%) and 0-3 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
8.44% ( -0.06)	15.76% ( -0.16)	75.8% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 43.86% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.69% (

0.55)

41.31% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.29% (

0.55)

63.71% (

-0.55)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.31% (

0.23)

51.69% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.2% (

0.15)

85.8% (

-0.15)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.8% (

0.19)

9.2% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.84% (

0.45)

31.16% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 8.44%

Sporting Lisbon 75.78%

Draw 15.76%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 8.44%	1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.76%	0-2 @ 13.53% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.1% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 6.42% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.41% Total : 75.78%