Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 2
Estoril

Bondoso (9'), Clayton (59')
Pantalon (90'), Tiknaz (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marques (64'), Pina (68')
Zanocelo (27'), Mangala (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Estoril Praia
41.94% ( 0.17)	27.06% ( 0.06)	31% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51% (

-0.29)

55.48% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33% (

-0.24)

76.67% (

0.24)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89% (

-0.05)

26.11% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.83% (

-0.06)

61.17% (

0.06)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

-0.31)

32.81% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

-0.35)

69.38% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 41.94%

Estoril Praia 31%

Draw 27.06%

Rio Ave	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.94%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31%