Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Arouca

Clayton (43' pen.)
Freire (39'), Clayton (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Faria Camara Lamba (38'), Mantl (39'), Rodrigues (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Arouca
41.49% ( -0.02)	26.31% ( 0.06)	32.2% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.4% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.84% (

-0.24)

52.16% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12% (

-0.21)

73.87% (

0.2)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

-0.12)

24.84% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56% (

-0.16)

59.43% (

0.16)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0.15)

30.28% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

-0.18)

66.45% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 41.48%

Arouca 32.2%

Draw 26.31%

Rio Ave	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.48%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.2%