Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | SC Farense |
| 50.61% ( | 24.71% ( | 24.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( | 49.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( | 19.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( | 51.66% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( | 34.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% ( | 71.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.68% |