Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Farense logo

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Farense

Patrick (32')
Freire (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neto (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawSC Farense
50.61% (0.988 0.99)24.71% (-0.3 -0.3)24.68% (-0.682 -0.68)
Both teams to score 52.41% (0.269 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (0.679 0.68)49.78% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (0.606 0.61)71.79% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.678 0.68)19.68% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (1.085 1.09)51.66% (-1.081 -1.08)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)34.75% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.227 -0.23)71.48% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 50.61%
    SC Farense 24.68%
    Draw 24.7%
Rio AveDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.109 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.61%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.68%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Farense

Rio Ave
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
SC Farense
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 26
Farense
1-1
Rio Ave
Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')
Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-4
Farense
Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')
Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
2-1
Farense
Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
Muscat (62')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
Oct 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
0-1
Rio Ave

Falcao (42'), Isidoro (63'), Mansilla (79'), Oudrhiri (83')
Mane (20')
Augusto (25'), Jeronimo (32'), Borevkovic (46'), Diego (79'), Pele (79'), Amaral (84')