Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.