Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Galeno (30'), Gonzalez (30')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Patrick (22')
Patrick (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Porto
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Farense
Saturday, August 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 9.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Rio Ave
76.55% ( -2.27)	14.43% ( 0.78)	9.01% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 51.9% (

4.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.53% (

1.8)

32.47% (

-1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.89% (

2.06)

54.11% (

-2.06)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.02% (

-0.06)

6.97% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.46% (

-0.15)

25.54% (

0.15)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79% (

4.79)

44.21% (

-4.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.7% (

3.66)

80.3% (

-3.66)

Score Analysis

Porto 76.55%

Rio Ave 9.01%

Draw 14.43%

Porto	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 10.93% ( -1.16) 3-0 @ 9.71% ( -1.06) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.73) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.49) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.32) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.18) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.57% Total : 76.55%	1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.57) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.31) Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.43%	1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.26) Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.01%