Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 3-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for an Al-Nassr win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Al-Nassr
64.31% ( 0.01)	18.77% ( -0.01)	16.92% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.63% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.73% (

0.06)

33.27% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.97% (

0.06)

55.03% (

-0.06)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.18% (

0.02)

9.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.4% (

0.05)

32.59% (

-0.04)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

0.04)

32.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66% (

0.04)

69.33% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Porto 64.31%

Al-Nassr 16.92%

Draw 18.77%

Porto	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 4.55% Total : 64.31%	1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.77%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 16.92%