Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.