Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al-Taawoun
1 - 4
Al-Nassr

El Mahdioui (13')
Abdulmalik (42'), Al Slaluli (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brozovic (26'), Laporte (35'), Otavio (50'), Ronaldo (90+2')
Ronaldo (11'), Al Amri (11'), Alkhaibari (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Taawoun and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Taawoun

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 1-3 Al Fateh
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-5 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, December 26 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-TaawounDrawAl-Nassr
29.06% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)22.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)48.67% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 64.72% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)35.3% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.67% (-0.377 -0.38)57.32% (0.377 0.38)
Al-Taawoun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)23.92% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (-0.315 -0.31)58.14% (0.316 0.32)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)14.93% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.67% (-0.226 -0.23)43.33% (0.227 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Al-Taawoun 29.06%
    Al-Nassr 48.67%
    Draw 22.27%
Al-TaawounDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.11% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.06%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.67%

How you voted: Al-Taawoun vs Al-Nassr

Al-Taawoun
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Nassr
100%
17
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Al-Nassr
0-2
Al-Taawoun

Alkhaibari (22'), Talisca (53')
Tawamba (20'), Saleh Bahusayn (90+6')
Abdulmalik (45+6'), Al-Ahmad (61')
> Preview
Sep 27, 2020 6.45pm
Round of 16
Al-Nassr
1-0
Al-Taawoun
Hamdallah (75')
Asiri (36'), Aldawsari (90+2')

Kadesh (83'), Al Mousa (88')