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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al-Taawoun
1 - 4
Al-Nassr

El Mahdioui (13')
Abdulmalik (42'), Al Slaluli (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brozovic (26'), Laporte (35'), Otavio (50'), Ronaldo (90+2')
Ronaldo (11'), Al Amri (11'), Alkhaibari (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Taawoun and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 1-3 Al Fateh
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-5 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, December 26 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Taawoun 1-2 Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr look like a different team than the one Al-Taawoun faced on matchday two, and given how sharp they have been up front lately, it is difficult to envision the home side keeping them quiet for 90 minutes on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-TaawounDrawAl-Nassr
29.06% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 22.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 48.67% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 64.72% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)35.3% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.67% (-0.377 -0.38)57.32% (0.377 0.38)
Al-Taawoun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)23.92% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (-0.315 -0.31)58.14% (0.316 0.32)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)14.93% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.67% (-0.226 -0.23)43.33% (0.227 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Al-Taawoun 29.06%
    Al-Nassr 48.67%
    Draw 22.27%
Al-TaawounDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.11% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.06%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.67%

How you voted: Al-Taawoun vs Al-Nassr

Al-Taawoun
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Nassr
100%
17
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Al-Nassr
0-2
Al-Taawoun

Alkhaibari (22'), Talisca (53')
Tawamba (20'), Saleh Bahusayn (90+6')
Abdulmalik (45+6'), Al-Ahmad (61')
Sep 27, 2020 6.45pm
Round of 16
Al-Nassr
1-0
Al-Taawoun
Hamdallah (75')
Asiri (36'), Aldawsari (90+2')

Kadesh (83'), Al Mousa (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal28262086186880
2Al-Nassr29232484354971
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli28157654302452
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun29149648311751
5Al Ittihad29155955401550
6Al Ettifaq29101183530541
7Al Fateh29117114844440
8Damac29108114035538
9Al ShababAl Shabab29108113936338
10Al Fayha29108113846-838
11Al Khaleej2998123240-835
12Al WahdaAl Wahda2995154149-832
13Al RaedAl Raed2987143845-731
14Al Riyadh2977152651-2528
15Al Okhdood2983182747-2027
16Al Tai2975172957-2826
17Abha2974183178-4725
18Al Hazem29310162968-3919


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