Saudi Pro League Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2023 6.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 2
FT King Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 14' goal
  • Faisal Al-Ghamdi 28' yellowcard
  • N'Golo Kante 40' yellowcard
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 47' yellowcard
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 51' goal
  • Fabinho 60' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 66' redcard
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 19'
  • yellowcard Luis Castro 29'
  • yellowcard Seko Fofana 30'
  • goal Anderson Talisca 38'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 47'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 45'+11'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 68'
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 70'
  • goal Sadio Mane 75'
  • goal Sadio Mane 82'

Al Ittihad vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 6.00pm
Al Ittihad 1 - 3 Al Raed
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Abderrazak Hamdallah

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Dec 22, 2023 3.00pm
Al-Nassr 3 - 1 Al Ettifaq
Goals scored
100
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result

Al Ittihad 40.64% (-0.18)
Draw 23.61% (+0.05)
Al-Nassr 35.75% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.75% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.87% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 39.13% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 38.55% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 61.45% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 20.99% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 79.01% (+0.17)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 80.4% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 19.6% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 48.47% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 51.53% (+0.26)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 78.05% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 21.95% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 44.76% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.24% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Al Ittihad 40.64%
Draw 23.61%
Al-Nassr 35.75%
Al Ittihad
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.01% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 40.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.3% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
Al-Nassr
1-2 @ 8.06% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.52% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.07% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 35.75%