Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdul Aziz Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Ittihad
2 - 5
Al-Nassr

Hamdallah (14', 51')
Al-Ghamdi (28'), Kante (40'), Hamdallah (47'), Fabinho (60')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ronaldo (19' pen., 68' pen.), Talisca (38'), Mane (75', 82')
Castro (29'), Fofana (30'), Telles (45+11'), Laporte (47'), Alawjami (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 1-3 Al Raed
Saturday, December 23 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, December 22 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Nassr
40.64% (-0.17 -0.17)23.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05)35.75% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 62.75% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)39.13% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55% (-0.209 -0.21)61.45% (0.207 0.21)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)19.6% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.261 -0.26)51.53% (0.259 0.26)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)21.95% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)55.24% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 40.64%
    Al-Nassr 35.75%
    Draw 23.61%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Nassr

Al Ittihad
18.8%
Draw
20.3%
Al-Nassr
60.9%
64