Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.