Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.