Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 6.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Karim Benzema 38' goal
  • Igor Coronado 54' goal
  • Hasan Kadesh 65' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 67' goal
  • Karim Benzema 69' goal
  • Marwan Al-Sahafi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saad Natiq 41'
  • goal Karl Toko Ekambi 51'
  • goal Fahad Al-Jumayah 85'

Al Ittihad vs Abha - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Nov 3, 2023 6.00pm
Al Shabab 1 - 0 Al Ittihad
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Abderrazak Hamdallah

Abha

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Abha 3 - 2 Al Okhdood
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Grzegorz Krychowiak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result

Al Ittihad 78.33% (-0.51)
Draw 14.06% (+0.26)
Abha 7.61% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.23% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.95% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 36.04% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 41.85% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 58.15% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 23.65% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 76.35% (+0.29)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 92.6% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 7.4% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 73.32% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 26.67% (+0.46)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5 49.93% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 50.07% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 15.29% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 84.71% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Al Ittihad 78.33%
Draw 14.06%
Abha 7.61%
Al Ittihad
2-0 @ 12.56% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.9% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 9.65% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.54% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.09% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 2.56% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.6% (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 78.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.68% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.71% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.01% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.06%
Abha
0-1 @ 2.56% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 2.31% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 7.61%