Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 2
Abha

Benzema (38' pen., 67', 69'), Coronado (54')
Kadesh (65'), Al-Sahafi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toko Ekambi (51'), Al-Jumayah (85')
Natiq (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 3-2 Al Okhdood
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAbha
78.33% (-0.50999999999999 -0.51)14.06% (0.26 0.26)7.61% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 46.23% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.95% (-0.311 -0.31)36.04% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.85% (-0.343 -0.34)58.15% (0.341 0.34)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.6% (-0.175 -0.17)7.4% (0.1731 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.32% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)26.67% (0.454 0.45)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.93% (0.416 0.42)50.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29% (0.286 0.29)84.71% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 78.33%
    Abha 7.61%
    Draw 14.06%
Al IttihadDrawAbha
2-0 @ 12.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 7.09% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 78.33%
1-1 @ 6.68% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.06%
0-1 @ 2.56% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.31% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Abha

Al Ittihad
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Abha
0.0%
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