Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Abha win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Abha win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Abha would win this match.