Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.