Club World Cup | First Round
Dec 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 0
Auckland City

Romarinho (29'), Kante (34'), Benzema (40')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Club World Cup clash between Al Ittihad and Auckland City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 3-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, December 7 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ahly 3-0 Auckland City
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Club World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Auckland City win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAuckland City
60.05% (0.030999999999999 0.03)22.14% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)17.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.61% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (0.052 0.05)47.28% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (0.048000000000002 0.05)69.5% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.67% (0.028000000000006 0.03)15.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.93% (0.050999999999995 0.05)44.07% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Auckland City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (0.015999999999998 0.02)40.23% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)76.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 60.04%
    Auckland City 17.81%
    Draw 22.14%
Al IttihadDrawAuckland City
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 60.04%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Auckland City

Al Ittihad
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Auckland City
15.4%
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